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Australia 'gullible' over US commitment: Bob Carr
Story by Dominic Giannini • 18-5-2023
Former foreign minister Bob Carr says Australia was gullible about the relationship with the United States after Joe Biden pulled out of a major trip down under.
The US president pulled out of the Quad leaders' meeting - which was due to be held in Sydney next week - to handle negotiations with Congress over the debt ceiling, which needs to be resolved by the end of the month to avoid a catastrophic default.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese subsequently cancelled the meeting, which also included the Japanese and Indian leaders, on Wednesday after receiving a call from Mr Biden.
Bob Carr said Australians shouldn't believe the Quad "is as significant a forum as some suggest".
"We Australians have been enormously gullible and optimistic about our American partner," the former foreign minister and NSW premier told Sky News.
"We've got to start to factor into our view of the future in this world the prospect that America could be more unpredictable and unreliable.
"The fact the president can cancel the attendance and the meeting can apparently not proceed is a warning about the limits of America's attention span and one that Australia ought to take seriously."
The foreign minister's office said it didn't agree with the comments.
"President Biden is a great friend of Australia. We appreciate that friendship and the role the US plays in the region and in the world," a spokesman for the minister said.
The Indian prime minister will still travel to Australia for a bilateral meeting. The four leaders are planning to meet on the sidelines of the G7 in Japan this weekend.
Mr Albanese said it was disappointing Mr Biden couldn't visit but he was still invited to in the future. The president was set to address parliament on Tuesday.
"The Quad is an important body and we want to make sure that it occurs at leadership level and we'll be having that discussion over the weekend," the prime minister said.
Opposition foreign affairs spokesman Simon Birmingham said the shake-up was disappointing but understandable.
"I hope the United States can give real priority to rescheduling that visit and ensuring that that engagement with the Pacific Island leaders happens as soon as possible," he said.
Vietnam government furious about release of Australian commemorative war coins
11.49am - 6-5-2023
Vietnam's communist government has demanded Australia cease issuing commemorative coins that, it says, show the flag of the toppled US-backed South Vietnam, a claim Canberra has denied.
In April, the Royal Australian Mint issued 85,000 sets of gold and silver $2 coins to mark the 50th anniversary of Australian troops withdrawing from southern Vietnam.
South Vietnam's yellow and red flag was banned by the Vietnamese government.
"We regret and strongly protest the Royal Australian Mint and Australia Post for issuing items with the image of the yellow flag — the flag of a regime that no longer exists," Vietnam Ministry of Foreign Affairs deputy spokeswoman Pham Thu Hang said in a statement on the government's official Facebook page on Thursday.
She said that Vietnam has discussed the matter with the Australian government and requested a halt to the coins' circulation.
Australia and Vietnam flagged an intention to elevate their bilateral relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership during National Assembly chairman Vuong Dinh Hue's visit to Canberra last November.
"This is completely inconsistent with the good development trend [of those efforts]," the spokeswoman said.
The Royal Australian Mint defended the coins on Friday.
"The design of the coin reflects the colours of the ribbons of the service medals awarded to Australians who served in Vietnam, including the Vietnam Service medal, introduced in 1968," the mint said in a statement to AFP.
"The Australian Government does not recognise the flag of the former Republic of Vietnam."
A Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) spokesperson told the ABC the commemorative coin and stamp were intended to honour Australians who served in Vietnam.
"The design of the coin and stamp reflects the colours of the ribbons of the service medals awarded to these personnel, including the Vietnam Service medal, introduced in 1968, "A DFAT spokesperson said in a statement.
"The Australian Government does not recognise the 'yellow flag'," It added.
More than 60,000 Australian soldiers served in the Vietnam War, 523 died and almost 2,400 were wounded, according to Australia's war memorial website.
It was Australia's longest involvement in a war during the 20th century and the engagement became deeply unpopular, with thousands marching against Australia's role in the early 1970s.
Australian troops withdrew from Vietnam in 1973, two years before the Communists from the north stormed Saigon and declared victory on April 30, 1975.
AFP
The coins mark the 50th anniversary of Australian troops withdrawing from southern Vietnam.(Supplied: The Perth Mint)
The bodies of Private Peter Gillson and Lance Corporal Richard Parker, killed in the Vietnam War, arrive in Darwin.(ABC TV: File)
China's aircraft carriers play 'theatrical' role but pose little threat yet
Story by By Greg Torode, Eduardo Baptista and Tim Kelly • 3h ago - 5-5-2023
By Greg Torode, Eduardo Baptista and Tim Kelly
FROM SKI JUMPS TO CATAPULTS
As the Liaoning and Shandong gradually increase the tempo of their drills, China is preparing for sea trials of its next-generation carrier, the 80,000-tonne Fujian, state media reported last month. The Fujian is significantly larger, though conventionally powered, and will launch aircraft from electromagnetic catapults.
The ship, which the Pentagon report said could be operational by 2024, is expected to carry new variants of the J-15 jet fighter, replacing the existing model that foreign analysts consider underpowered.
"The Fujian, with its more modern capabilities, will be just another test bed for a good few years," said Collin Koh, a defence scholar at Singapore's S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies.
"It won't be until we see the next generation of carriers that the Chinese designs and the PLAN's intentions will really settle down."
The carrier program reflects the ruling Communist Party's aim of making the People's Liberation Army (PLA) a "world class" military by 2049, part of President Xi Jinping's vision of building "a great modern socialist country".
One indication of China's ambitions, the attaches said, will be if carriers built after the Fujian are nuclear-powered like U.S. ones, allowing global range.
A study published in December by the non-partisan U.S. Congressional Research Service noted that China would use its carriers to project power "particularly in scenarios that do not involve opposing U.S. forces" and "to impress or intimidate foreign observers".
Several countries operate aircraft carriers but the U.S. remains the most dominant, running 11 carrier battlegroups with global reach.
China, by contrast, could use its carriers primarily in the Asian theatre, working in tandem with submarines and anti-ship missiles to attempt to control its near seas.
The Shandong's appearance off Taiwan's east coast to stage mock strikes last month surprised some analysts, given the island's proximity to land-based airfields. But, in the short term at least, China's military would struggle to defend the carrier out in the western Pacific in a clash with U.S. and allied forces.
"China's objective with the deployment of the Shandong is clear, it is a symbol of its political anger" over U.S. engagement with Taiwan, said Yoji Koda, a retired admiral who commanded the Japanese fleet.
In a battle, he said, it "would be a very good target for U.S. and Japanese forces, and they would take it down at the very beginning."
A U.S. defence official, speaking on the condition of anonymity as they were not authorised to talk publicly, said while China had made progress with its carriers, it had yet to master operations in difficult conditions or how to protect the vessels.
One question was how the ships would be relevant in a conflict, the official said.
China's Xi Jinping is accused of betraying Putin by Russian state TV
8:52 pm - 3-5-2023
China's Xi Jinping is accused of betraying Putin by Russian state TV
Vladimir Putin has been betrayed by Chinese leader Xi Jinping, according to the Russian dictator's closest popular supporters. Xi's telephone talks and engagement with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky in recent days have outraged Putin's biggest cheerleaders. Last week, Xi called Zelensky for the first time since the Russian invasion for an hourlong call that the Ukrainian president described as 'long and meaningful.'
Zelensky has since named an ambassador to Beijing, and China will send the envoy for European affairs to Kyiv. But the move has rattled spectators in Russia. War analyst Sergei Mardan (pictured) said on SolovyevLive that Xi's visit to Moscow last month had undermined the Kremlin. 'What are we supposed to think?' he
said. 'Are we friends or what?!'
Mardan said on his show '[we had] joy and confidence in believing that Xi Jinping saw Zelensky as a puppet, definitely will not call him...' 'And then boom – this,' he told viewers. China has supported Russia by buying its energy, when to its advantage, in spite of western sanctions throughout the war. Exporting to large buyers like China has also helped soften Russia's recession, with fiscal revenues increasing overall. Exports from Russia to China increased 43% year-on-year in 2022. But China has avoided directly sending munitions to Russia – much to the ire of onlookers backing Putin's campaign.
In recent months China has pushed to lead negotiations between Ukraine and Russia to de-escalate the violence that has claimed the lives of more than 350,000. Russia has not openly opposed this. In February, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said the proposals should be 'analyzed in detail,' though Russia did not see a way out of the war just yet. But the call between Xi and Zelensky was a bridge too far for Putin supporters. 'How do we take this call? Why did he call our enemy? Comrade Xi Jinping, why did you come to Moscow? And spend three days here, interrupting Putin's work? So as a result of his three-day stay in Moscow, he goes back to his Beijing, spends a week talking to his advisors – and then decides to call Zelensky.'
The slap down for Xi comes as Putin's supporters also feel aggrieved that their close Chinese ally has not sent advanced weapons and drones to help Russia's beleaguered war effort. As early as March last year, U.S. officials reported that Russia was seeking military equipment to help bolster its sluggish invasion of Ukraine. China denied the claim that Russia had asked for equipment after running out of weapons during its initial invasion. The SolovyevLive channel is led by Vladimir Solovyov, Putin's favorite state TV propagandist. Mardan (pictured) is a military analyst for pro-Kremlin Komsomolskaya Pravda newspaper.
Xi accused of betraying Putin over phone call to Zelensky on Russian state TV | Daily Mail Online
Zelensky's 'long and meaningful' conversation with Xi Jinping in April has rattled spectators in Russia. China will send its European envoy to Kyiv as it says it will help mediate for peace.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12037845/Xi-accused-betraying-Putin-phone-call-Zelensky-Russian-state-TV.html?ito=msngalleryAustralia to prioritise long-range strike capability in defence shakeup
Story by Reuters • 1h ago - 24-4-2023
By Kirsty Needham
CANBERRA (Reuters) -Australia's government will prioritise long-range precision strike, domestic production of guided weapons, and diplomacy - key points of a review released Monday recommending the country's biggest defence shakeup since World War Two.
The review said that the United States was no longer the "unipolar leader of the Indo Pacific", intense competition between the U.S. and China was defining the region, and that the major power competition had "potential for conflict".
The country's northern bases will become a focus to deter adversaries, and protect trade routes and communications, the review said.
China is undertaking its largest buildup since World War Two, and is engaged in strategic competition in Australia's near neighbourhood, it said.
A public version of the classified report released on Monday said Australia must "avoid the highest level of strategic risk we now face as a nation: the prospect of major conflict in the region".
The military threat to Australia does not require invasion in the "missile age", it said.
Australia would work more closely with the United States, including increased bilateral military planning and hosting more rotations of U.S. forces, including submarines, it said.
Australia must also strengthen engagement with Pacific and South East Asian nations, the review said.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the review's findings "will strengthen our national security and ensure our readiness for future challenges".
Defence funding will increase over the next decade, but will stay steady over the next four years at A$19 billion, with A$7.8 billion diverted from cancelled projects.
(Reporting by Kirsty Needham; Editing by Praveen Menon and Gerry doyle)
FILE PHOTO: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, in San Diego
© Thomson Reuters
South Korea says summit with Biden to give significant attention to North Korea rights
Story by Reuters • 10h ago - 22-4-2023
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -South Korea's Washington ambassador Cho Hyun-dong said on Friday he was sure North Korean human rights would be given significant attention in summit talks between South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol and U.S. President Joe Biden next week.
In a virtual address to the same event at Washington's Center for Strategic and International Studies, South Korean Foreign Minister Park Jin said the "dire" rights situation in North Korea must not be forgotten and the world should work together to address it.
South Korean President Yoon is to meet with Biden on Wednesday during a weeklong state visit to the United States.
Yoon has sought to turn the spotlight on North Korean rights following a failed policy of engagement with Pyongyang pursued by his predecessor Moon Jae-in. He said last month the international community should have better knowledge about the situation.
"We should never allow ourselves to forget the suffering of the North Korean people," Park said. "For only by remembering and recounting the dire human rights situation on the ground can we bring about change."
South Korea's Washington envoy Cho Hyun-dong said that with Yoon's state visit just around the corner, he was "sure that our two presidents' discussion will afford significant attention to the critical issue of North Korea and human rights."
U.N. human rights investigator Tomas Ojea-Quintana said last month that the world powers bear responsibility for ignoring crimes against humanity that may still be perpetrated in North Korea amid a focus on its nuclear program.
He said he had received information confirming the findings of a landmark 2014 U.N. Commission of Inquiry on extermination, murder, enslavement, torture, rape, forced abortion, sexual violence, political persecution and "the inhumane act of knowingly causing prolonged starvation" in the isolated country.
Ojea-Quintana said the U.N. Security Council should refer grave North Korean violations to the International Criminal Court for prosecution.
(Reporting by David Brunnstrom and Simon Lewis; editing by Jonathan Oatis)
Analysis-Australia prepares more assertive military stance to deter conflict
Story by By Kirsty Needham • Yesterday 7:04 pm - 21-4-2023
By Kirsty Needham
SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia will outline its defence plans next week, and its leaders are previewing a more assertive posture - in which it can strike farther, faster - while working with mid-size allies to reduce tensions as the United States and China square off.
The Labor government of Anthony Albanese is expected to lay out those proposals in response to a wide-ranging and secret defence review of Australia's investment in modern military systems and logistics, and how they would fare in a sudden conflict.
The review examined how Australia could better integrate with its AUKUS partners the United States and Britain, as well as other allies, the government has said. The AUKUS countries last month announced Australia would spend A$368 billion on nuclear-powered submarines, and will jointly develop hypersonic weapons to catch up to China.
British and U.S. nuclear submarines will also start rotations through a Western Australian naval base in advance of the joint production of the AUKUS nuclear submarine in the next decade.
Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Chief of the Defence Force Angus Campbell have said in recent days that Australian forces need to be capable of responding to potential adversaries whose weapons are faster, can strike farther and are more precise than in the past.
Changing that equation is crucial to the future of Australia's military, they said.
In an address to the National Press Club on Monday, Wong said the region should not be reduced to a binary competition between the United States and China; Australia wanted to work with other middle-sized countries, including in Southeast Asia, to deter aggression, she said.
"America is central to balancing a multipolar region... We cannot just leave it to the U.S.," she said.
Since 2017, after Australia's top trading partner, China, began militarising islands in the South China Sea along vital trade routes, and the Trump presidency called into question the United States commitment to U.S. international engagement, Australia's foreign policy has focused on building a mesh of middle-sized democracies to balance China's rise.
It revived the Quad of Japan, India and the United States, which will in August hold its Malabar naval exercise off the Western Australia coast for the first time. Australia's largest joint land military exercise will be held in July involving 30,000 troops from 11 nations, with Philippines, Singapore and Thailand observing.
Campbell said Australia's defence forces would enhance how they could operate alongside partners, but has ruled out foreign bases on its soil and will always retain control of its forces. The military will focus not just on territorial defence but national interests, including trade routes and submarine cables that connect the island to international telecommunications.
Wong said Australia must avert war, and would not speculate on Taiwan, other than to say a conflict would be "catastrophic for all".
The most important new assumption in the review is that Australia could come under attack with no warning from Chinese missiles and that Chinese ships will operate far from their home shores, said Michael Green, chief executive of the U.S. Studies Centre at the University of Sydney.
(Reporting by Kirsty Needham. Editing by Gerry